Cognitive Biases

Simple SWOT

How we shall think today ? Positive or negative ?

If we're positive than we are able to see our strengths and opportunities coming our way.

If we're negative we might see only weaknesses and threats.

We can influence by default our inner experience ( strengths and weaknesses ), but not our outside experience ( opportunities and threats) .

Seeing Into The Future

Playing Alice In Wonderland

I'd like to think of myself as futurist, not merely trendspotter.

I've become aware of some of my basic methods for forecasting / predictions . Let's give a name to those methods and long remembering:



1. DELPHI

2. ANALOGY / MODELS

3. EXTRAPOLATION

4. STATISTICAL

5. CAUSAL

I won't go in details. That's what works for me. Period.
Apply with common sense. It's all situational.

And remember, nothing is as it seems ! Read Alice in Wonderland for more insight.