Wednesday, 11 May 2011
Seeing Into The Future
Playing Alice In Wonderland
I'd like to think of myself as futurist, not merely trendspotter.
I've become aware of some of my basic methods for forecasting / predictions . Let's give a name to those methods and long remembering:
1. DELPHI
2. ANALOGY / MODELS
3. EXTRAPOLATION
4. STATISTICAL
5. CAUSAL
I won't go in details. That's what works for me. Period.
Apply with common sense. It's all situational.
And remember, nothing is as it seems ! Read Alice in Wonderland for more insight.
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